Levees: Infrastructure and Insurance as Adaptation to Flood Risk (joint with Anna Ziff)

Abstract: This paper considers the interaction of two key flood policy instruments commonly used in the US, levee infrastructure and flood insurance, and measures how much flood insurance take-up changes in response to levee provision. Levees are critical infrastructure that reduce expected flood damage in a protected area. When a levee is constructed, and later accredited by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), it alters inherent flood risk, flood insurance prices, and mandatory insurance purchase requirements. Using a novel panel dataset drawing from the National Levee Database, manually collected levee accreditation documentation, and FEMA flood insurance data, we leverage variation in levee construction and accreditation timing within a difference-in-differences design. Construction timing allows us to examine insurance take-up as a result of decreased flood risk, while take-up responses to accreditation reflect changes in insurance prices and mandatory purchase requirements. Our paper has three main findings: first, we find that levee construction decreases flood insurance by 20 percent. Second, we find that levee accreditation does not further change flood insurance take-up. Third, we find that decreases in flood insurance take-up due to levee construction decreases aggregate household insurance spending by $1.2 million per levee-mile, accounting for both extensive and intensive margin changes, and $5.7 million in averted expected damages per levee-mile, which, when compared to recent estimates of levee construction costs, corresponds to a break-even time horizon of 10 to 50 years.



Natural Disasters and Firm Behavior in the United States

Hurricanes cause tremendous economic damage to the United States. Although economists have studied macro-level indicators of economic progress following these devastating disasters, there is very little evidence of establishment-level responses to hurricanes, and heterogeneity in outcomes depending on establishment characteristics. This paper combines detailed spatial data on hurricane trajectories with county-level characteristics on establishment entry and exit to provide the first empirical micro-level estimates of establishment behavior following a natural disaster. I plan to perform a heterogeneity analysis to determine how entry and exit varies depending on establishment characteristics. My initial results indicate that establishments actually increase following a hurricane event, and this increase persists for many years following the disaster. I find no evidence of firm size heterogeneity in post-hurricane establishment counts.



The Effects of Natural Disasters on Rental Markets and Renter Migration Decisions (joint with Nicole Karwowski)